Whilst I can't answer your specific example, I do know that the shared DNA varies very extensively between 'equal' relatives.
My 2nd cousin once removed (who I know, and is documented, we are related via my great aunt), shares 17cM DNA with me. DNA painter has that relationship as a 1% likelihood.
It's previously been suggested here that there must have been an NPA for that amount of DNA share
However, knowing the circumstances/background of my great grandmother, (wife of Metropolitan policeman, close family, 12 children, when would she have had the time???) I'm more inclined to believe it's an outlier.