Lockdown easing in England

[Gadget]

Graph of recessions compared:

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EaTKIoqWoAElqFH?format=jpg&name=large

[Viktoria]

Ouch! If I have understood that properly.
Viktoria.

[Gan Yam]

Looks like it might be financially similar to the South Sea Bubble crash of 1720 with British tax payers  still paying off the debt until 2015, with 11000 bond holders receiving interest from the government.  Lets hope our future generation aren't still paying in 300 year!

(one South Sea investment: £2000 of shares sold in "a company for carrying out an undertaking of great advantage, but nobody to know what it is".! - no wonder the bubble burst)

[Maiden Stone]

Graph of recessions compared:

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EaTKIoqWoAElqFH?format=jpg&name=large

But we will "bounce back". The ball will need to bounce very high.

"More or Less"  (repeated from earlier in week) on Radio 4 now.

[sugarfizzle]

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jun/12/england-are-coronavirus-cases-falling-or-rising-near-you

Fascinating clickable map for cases in your area of England last week.

In Cornwall last week there were 11 cases, the previous week there were only 4.

In one area in NW England there were 13 new cases, previous week only 11. And in another the figures are 6 last week, 3 the previous week.
However, in an adjoining area there was a reduction from 13 previous week to 3 last week and another reduction from 26 to 11.

I can see now why the R rate fluctuates so much, depending upon which figures you look at. Both SW and NW England have had R rates reported to be above 1 in the past week, but the number of cases is still relatively small.

Until there are no cases at all, there is the possibility of spread, but how can anyone estimate the rate of infection with any accuracy?

Regards Margaret

[Gadget]

Graph of recessions compared:

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EaTKIoqWoAElqFH?format=jpg&name=large

But we will "bounce back". The ball will need to bounce very high.

"More or Less"  (repeated from earlier in week) on Radio 4 now.

Think it will take a hot air balloon or that Spacex Rocket 

[Maiden Stone]

"More or Less"  (repeated from earlier in week) on Radio 4 now.

2 items on testing, 1 about accuracy of antibody tests.
Also considered: the infection rate in March before lockdown; accuracy of death statistics.
"More or Less" is public service broadcasting. Worth a licence fee. Worth an award for factual reporting.
Next week is last edition in this series. 

[Maiden Stone]

But we will "bounce back". The ball will need to bounce very high.

"More or Less"  (repeated from earlier in week) on Radio 4 now.

Think it will take a hot air balloon or that Spacex Rocket 

Well, we know who is well-placed to provide hot air.    I can imagine the cartoons.
I can't see my town or county bouncing back. Forecast is 3 years before Scotland recovery starts. Ken Clark interview on "PM" now saying it will be a long recovery.

[Gadget]

Probably we'll 'mumble and bumble' our way along the bottom